Why should we worry about overfishing?
Why worry about overfishing? Why work on developing
aquaculture and fish farming? To keep up
with world appetites the global fish-farming industry will have to increase its
growth. The reason is simple, current projections suggest that by 2030 the
world’s population will have exceeded 8 billion people. Maintaining today’s
consumption rates, of around 17 kilograms per person per year would require an extra
29 million tons of fish. Meanwhile, around half of all fish stocks have been
deemed “fully exploited” by the FAO, with those deemed “over-exploited, depleted
or recovering” now around 30%.
Studies
by the University of British Columbia Fisheries Center show that globally we
have run out of room to expand existing fisheries, due to past systematic expansion
by industrialized fishing. The study showed that since 1950, fisheries expanded
at the rate of one million sq. kilometers per year from 1950-1970, and tripled in
the 1980’s and early 1990’s. Reduction in the growth rates during and after the
1990’s reflects a lack of space to grow in, rather than a greater awareness of
the ecological impact. Chris Costello and Steve Gaines of the University of
California, Santa Barbara have developed a method to gauge the health of fishery
stocks and applied it to more than 7000 fisheries. They estimate that the
fisheries are gravely depleted and have less than half the biomass they need to
maintain their maximum annual yield. They also estimate 2% of fisheries have
fully collapsed, with less than a 10th of the historical levels of biomass and
that incidents of collapse are rising.
So not only have we run out of places to find fish, but the places we do have are already losing the ability to keep up with our current needs.
Sources:
Cressey,
D. (2009) Future Fish. Nature 458(26)
pp398-400
The world's fisheries are in
an even worse state than feared, The
Economist
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