The makings of a left swing? Futures show less confidence in republican states.
Often times voting trends tend to swing back and forth. In 2016 there was a large right wing shift in American politics and over four years of the trump presidency voters polls have shown less confidence in the conservative party. As a result new battle ground states are emerging. Texas, a long time large playing conservative state has been growing more liberal in the last decade as its large cities develop. The most recent polls show actual ties between Trump and Biden. This shift also indicates a movement of political thought. More rural states tend to vote republican while urban ones have leaned democrat and as the US population grows the republican party will have to re-evaluate who their primary audience is before they lose majority.
For the coming election, even for those not as inclined to take radical stances, watching the coming election cycle will be an educational experience. There are plenty of resources online and a good statistical analysis would be 270 to win (https://www.270towin.com/) an online resource which organizes items like polls, the Crystal Ball, and others to determine possible outcomes. 2020 in itself has been a large wake up call for many Americans and with plenty out of work this might be a year of abnormally high voter turnout.
Mail in voting also projects the possibility of increasing this voter turn out as well. It is not yet November yet but once it arrives the realities of the shift will be laid to bare. Nixon of the Republican party founded our modern usage of the "Silent Majority" the non-political citizens who still vote and take up the majority of the vote. While it has always been used to rally un-politicals to vote for one cause predicting it is uncertain. Unfortunately its where we find ourselves as a nation. Uncertain with what is to come in these dark times.
To learn more about the electoral forecasts click below.
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